Making money the easy way and turning your passion into profit are everyone’s dreams. It is easy to guess what is the most important unimportant thing in the world. It is easy to answer the question about the most popular sport in the world.
Soccer. The sport every boy is crazy about. The sport that makes entire families cry in the stands. The sport attracts the audience of millions.
Sports betting is a huge industry and football/soccer is the most popular sport for watching and enjoying in, but with betting, too. Your favorite team is playing against other teams, and you are playing against bookmakers. It is never easy to beat a well-prepared, experienced enemy.
Bookmakers are specialized in predicting results and counting the chances of a huge amount of outcomes. They have huge data and the best programs and software solutions for statistic analysis.
It is easy to realize that, to beat bookmakers, develop a methodical approach for predicting results and outcomes.
There are many unpopular leagues that are not that much covered by the bookmaker’s statistical analysis. There are also a lot of situations when favorites lose in matches against so much weaker teams. These are leagues and situations you have to focus on, to become a serious sports bettor.
These are leagues and situations you have to collect data about and then use specific tools for statistic analysis. This way, you will be able to correctly predict outcomes more frequently and therefore win more often.
So what is the best method for soccer predictions—relying on statistics?
The first thing you have to do for predicting matches is thinking about all variables that could impact the outcome you bet on. You may bet on the result at the end of the regular time of the game; on numbers of corners, red and yellow cards; ball possession; players who score goals; etc. There are many variables that could have a huge impact on the outcomes.
Some of those you have to consider are goal differential;
- location of shots,
- shots on target,
- shots on goal,
- possession injuries,
- the field they play on,
- starters success in previous matches (mutual relations)
- results so far in the season, etc.
It may seem that the whole process of recognizing independent variables and the impact they could have on depending on one and doing statistic analysis (correlations and regressions) takes a lot of time, but it will definitely be worthy.
When doing those analyses, never forget to consider one potential outcome.
As we have already mentioned, you don’t have to bet just on the result at the end of a match. Those bets are what bookmakers focus on the most, so find other options that bookmakers may partly disregard.
Asian handicap, European handicap, half time full time, over/under bets, anytime goalscorers, etc. these are all options. Those bets will bring you more profit, and if you research, collect data and count chances and odds for certain outcomes, you will have more chances to beat bookmakers.
The best method for soccer predictions also involves finding value bets and not betting just on favorites.
Betting on favorites won’t bring you money but finding value bets (teams who are overestimated or underestimated by bookmakers).